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Bayes' Theorem and the Changing of Your Beliefs
A model for better rationality, avoiding the Bayesian thinking trap, and a multi-billion-dollar engagement machine
Jul 14
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The School of Knowledge
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Bayes' Theorem and the Changing of Your Beliefs
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June 2025
Welcome to The School of Knowledge
Your 1-stop shop for systems thinking, mental models and frameworks
Jun 29
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The School of Knowledge
23
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Welcome to The School of Knowledge
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Think Better with the New AI-Powered Six Thinking Hats Prompt
Welcome to The School of Knowledge and this week’s paid essay. Each Sunday, I send an essay to help you navigate your personal or professional…
Jun 22
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The School of Knowledge
7
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Think Better with the New AI-Powered Six Thinking Hats Prompt
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What 100 Newsletters Taught Me About Thinking Better
Today marks a special milestone—The School of Knowledge's 100th release on Substack.
Jun 15
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What 100 Newsletters Taught Me About Thinking Better
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A Complete Thinking Framework for Better Decisions
Welcome to The School of Knowledge and this week’s free essay. Each Sunday, I send an essay to help you navigate your personal or professional…
Jun 8
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The School of Knowledge
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Leo Rule
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A Complete Thinking Framework for Better Decisions
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Disorder, Chaos And Decay: How To Avoid High Entropy
In February 2009, I headed down south on a 5-hour train to join the Royal Marines.
Jun 1
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12
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Disorder, Chaos And Decay: How To Avoid High Entropy
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May 2025
21 Thinking Tools for Making Better Decisions
Interesting concepts, mental models & frameworks
May 25
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The School of Knowledge
89
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21 Thinking Tools for Making Better Decisions
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The Garden Test for Every New Idea
Welcome to The School of Knowledge. Each Sunday, I send an essay to help you navigate your personal or professional transition, from those who have…
May 19
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The School of Knowledge
12
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The Garden Test for Every New Idea
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April 2025
Is "What Doesn't Kill You Makes You Stronger" Terrible Advice?
Our founding membership for The School of Knowledge Community will be opening soon. Thank you to those already on the list. If you haven't joined the…
Apr 27
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The School of Knowledge
16
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Is "What Doesn't Kill You Makes You Stronger" Terrible Advice?
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Swimming With Experts
Moving beyond theory into practical applications
Apr 21
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The School of Knowledge
7
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Swimming With Experts
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Curated Frameworks For Your Professional Evolution
The knowledge vault
Apr 20
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The School of Knowledge
8
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Curated Frameworks For Your Professional Evolution
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3 Intelligent Reasons for A Community Member Spotlight
How to tease out what people have to offer
Apr 19
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The School of Knowledge
4
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3 Intelligent Reasons for A Community Member Spotlight
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