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The Premortem: The 6-Step Framework That Increases Your Ability to Spot Business Failure by 30%
Why smart teams still make bad decisions — and the 10-minute exercise that fixes It
May 10
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A Lot of Good Business Decisions is Just Figuring Out What You Don’t Want
Via negativa, Munger's inversion, Buffett's too hard pile: the smartest operators use subtraction, not addition. Here's how to build your exclusion…
Apr 12
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Cynefin: The Decision-Making Tool Every Operator Needs
Not all problems are the same type of problem
Apr 5
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19 Thinking Tools For Making Better Decisions
Concepts, mental models & frameworks i've found interesting
Jan 11
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Bayes' Theorem and the Changing of Your Beliefs
A model for better rationality, avoiding the Bayesian thinking trap, and a multi-billion-dollar engagement machine
Jul 14, 2025
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A Complete Thinking Framework for Better Decisions
Welcome to The School of Knowledge and this week’s free essay. Each Sunday, I send an essay to help you navigate your personal or professional…
Jun 8, 2025
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Leo Rule | Align Your Family
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21 Thinking Tools for Making Better Decisions
Interesting concepts, mental models & frameworks
May 25, 2025
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The Rumsfeld Matrix Explained
A simple, but powerful tool for managing uncertainty
Mar 2, 2025
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10 Practical Wisdoms for System Thinkers
If you want to make a meaningful change
Feb 8, 2025
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How To Make Better Decisions Without A Psychology Degree
The search-inference framework
Nov 27, 2024
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How to Avoid The Trappings of The Sunk Cost Fallacy
“Recognize reality even when you don't like it—especially when you don't like it”.
Oct 8, 2024
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Overcome Uncertainty by Using Ray Dalio’s Strategy for Better Decisions
Ray Dalio's book Principles offers the kind of wisdom that helped him build a $14 billion fortune—yet you can hold it in your hands for just $20.
Sep 28, 2024
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